Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000135 0.000148 0.000163 0.000179 0.000198 0.000218 0.000241
2025-11-02 0.000107 0.000126 0.000149 0.000176 0.000210 0.000250 0.000301
2025-11-09 0.000091 0.000113 0.000140 0.000176 0.000222 0.000281 0.000361
2025-11-16 0.000079 0.000102 0.000132 0.000173 0.000229 0.000305 0.000414
2025-11-23 0.000069 0.000093 0.000124 0.000169 0.000233 0.000323 0.000461
2025-11-30 0.000064 0.000088 0.000121 0.000171 0.000245 0.000354 0.000529
2025-12-07 0.000060 0.000085 0.000120 0.000174 0.000259 0.000388 0.000605
2025-12-14 0.000054 0.000079 0.000114 0.000171 0.000262 0.000405 0.000656
2025-12-21 0.000049 0.000073 0.000107 0.000165 0.000259 0.000413 0.000692
2025-12-28 0.000046 0.000070 0.000105 0.000165 0.000267 0.000439 0.000764
2026-01-04 0.000044 0.000067 0.000104 0.000167 0.000276 0.000467 0.000843
2026-01-11 0.000041 0.000064 0.000100 0.000164 0.000279 0.000486 0.000904
2026-01-18 0.000038 0.000061 0.000098 0.000165 0.000289 0.000517 0.001000
2026-01-25 0.000036 0.000058 0.000095 0.000163 0.000293 0.000540 0.001081
2026-02-01 0.000034 0.000056 0.000093 0.000163 0.000300 0.000569 0.001180
2026-02-08 0.000032 0.000053 0.000090 0.000161 0.000302 0.000589 0.001264
2026-02-15 0.000029 0.000050 0.000086 0.000157 0.000301 0.000602 0.001332
2026-02-22 0.000028 0.000049 0.000085 0.000159 0.000313 0.000644 0.001477
2026-03-01 0.000027 0.000048 0.000085 0.000162 0.000327 0.000691 0.001644
2026-03-08 0.000026 0.000045 0.000082 0.000159 0.000327 0.000708 0.001736
2026-03-15 0.000024 0.000043 0.000078 0.000153 0.000321 0.000708 0.001785
2026-03-22 0.000023 0.000041 0.000077 0.000154 0.000329 0.000745 0.001940
2026-03-29 0.000022 0.000040 0.000076 0.000155 0.000338 0.000785 0.002112